Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31b1c7338524dc2e2b29e0a8ed8f2b045e6614b0f009f7530760b7716f68b45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 3c | 68,247$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.45 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 4c | 10,241$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.87 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,779$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 26c | 5,471$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.07 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,434$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 15c | 4,141$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…6783backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…05f5backed No | 58c | 3,243$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 4c | 3,179$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…daf7backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…4e83backed Yes | 5c | 2,241$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,947$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…1b86backed Yes | 27c | 1,561$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 28c | 1,533$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.38 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked No | 59c | 1,227$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 42c | 1,198$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,164$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,065$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…65c8backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…bfb5backed No | 79c | 992.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 53c | 966.97$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 2c | 965.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 2c | 958.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 44c | 916.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 4c | 862$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…353bbacked Yes | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 772.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…473ebacked Yes | 4c | 754.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0369…4192backed Yes | 1c | 670.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 3c | 669.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…1fa6backed Yes | 8c | 526.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…e9d8backed Yes | 4c | 507.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…51f9backed Yes | 22c | 501.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…c4e0backed Yes | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8591…43f6backed Yes | 10c | 499.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 60c | 496.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 4c | 475.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd33…5310backed Yes | 42c | 461.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 439.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…1b30backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 15c | 367.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…ce57backed Yes | 6c | 324$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…1e2ebacked No | 62c | 312$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 61c | 312$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a6…10f1backed Yes | 4c | 311.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 36c | 309.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…b901backed No | 55c | 304.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Yes | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 80c | 265.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 9c | 244.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…9ed0backed Yes | 26c | 239.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 236.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 26c | 215.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 29c | 209.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…122dbacked Yes | 20c | 200.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…8b8abacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f9…106dbacked Yes | 43c | 192.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed No | 77c | 182.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 22c | 181.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked No | 39c | 166.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 13c | 165.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…8cafbacked No | 66c | 152.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…8648backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…8ffebacked Yes | 9c | 141.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked No | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed No | 73c | 126.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…17d7backed Yes | 15c | 126.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…988bbacked Yes | 27c | 115.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…6b81backed Yes | 17c | 109.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…933abacked Yes | 49c | 101.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…e079backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…132bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed No | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…3b76backed No | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…aca1backed Yes | 27c | 88.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…dc0abacked No | 72c | 87.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa280…fbbabacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes | 29c | 76.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207c…52fabacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 79c | 63.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0012…bff8backed Yes | 44c | 63.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed No | 57c | 62.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a7…b87cbacked Yes | 36c | 61.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…2261backed Yes | 25c | 58.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…a7c7backed No | 55c | 57.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…8a6ebacked Yes | 24c | 53.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…5ca8backed Yes | 64c | 45.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…eb1abacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed No | 43c | 44.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked No | 78c | 37.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…8ef0backed No | 40c | 37.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.