Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25bc4a8be3a7ca802f4af7d8559186426fb0a73529a3395ae7ba588fbde93150
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 32,233$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.69 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 9c | 12,804$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.93 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 8c | 10,037$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.32 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 4,956$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.77 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 3,920$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.27 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 2,463$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.02 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 2,072$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.7 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 59c | 1,872$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 41c | 1,819$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.21 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked No | 8c | 1,193$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 899.92$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.96 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 9c | 768.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 15c | 526.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 13c | 453.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 43c | 445.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.05 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 44c | 442.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 44c | 441.67$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.42 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 10c | 422.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 14c | 413.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 57c | 409.16$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 57c | 409.16$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 12c | 402.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 14c | 402.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…76e5backed Yes | 45c | 397.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 57c | 389.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 10c | 384.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 22c | 369.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 57c | 360.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.46 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 349.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 10c | 328.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 43c | 326.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.89 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 43c | 326.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.89 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 13c | 314.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 292.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 57c | 292.26$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed No | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes | 43c | 223.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Yes | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 26c | 210.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 58c | 207.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 199.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 197.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 193.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 57c | 192.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 21c | 174.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 57c | 172.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 57c | 169.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 43c | 148.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 10c | 142.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked No | 57c | 136.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 10c | 131.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes | 74c | 128.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 43c | 127.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 41c | 126.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 9c | 126.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 42c | 123.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 58c | 116.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 42c | 115.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 9c | 110.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 11c | 110.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…b030backed Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 98.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 53c | 95.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 88.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed No | 57c | 85.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 14c | 84.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 43c | 68.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 67.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 44c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 23c | 56.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 53.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 35c | 53.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…ee0cbacked No | 38c | 48.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…efe4backed No | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked No | 49c | 47.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 34c | 47.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…bfe8backed Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 41.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 62c | 40.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 75c | 38.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 37.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 36.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 36.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…c501backed No | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.