TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Yokkaichi: Li Tu vs Rio Noguchi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rio Noguchiof Li Tu, Rio Noguchi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,570 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5a4…5780backed Li Tu45c8,027$3,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.966043.3%26 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rio Noguchi38c5,531$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.562,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Li Tu65c4,690$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.731,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Rio Noguchi47c3,180$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.4329637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Rio Noguchi37c2,995$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.1555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Li Tu57c2,500$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.9930857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rio Noguchi39c2,338$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.181,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Li Tu66c2,189$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.029,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Rio Noguchi46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9124350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Rio Noguchi62c2,103$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.152,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Rio Noguchi35c2,066$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.147252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Rio Noguchi62c1,784$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.5865157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc765…9322backed Li Tu58c1,752$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Rio Noguchi73c1,240$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8664065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Li Tu47c1,168$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.8865558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Li Tu48c994.97$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8318250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4c…a6a1backed Rio Noguchi49c959.84$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.071050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Li Tu49c905.73$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.3130744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Li Tu58c868.98$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.0181047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Rio Noguchi49c823.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.651,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Rio Noguchi45c816.11$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.714,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Rio Noguchi50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40015457.1%88 W · 66 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rio Noguchi43c790.11$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.41,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Rio Noguchi40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rio Noguchi50c730$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.758639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Rio Noguchi42c713.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.8256757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Li Tu55c690$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.386149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9647…4d48backed Rio Noguchi43c688.58$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.584454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Li Tu55c650$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.51,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Li Tu78c638.28$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.724971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Li Tu51c618.09$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.353,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rio Noguchi49c610.18$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.778,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Li Tu44c540.6$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.77040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed Li Tu56c539.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Rio Noguchi46c519.18$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4728552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Li Tu52c504.99$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.67,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Rio Noguchi56c475.84$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.162,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Li Tu58c463.79$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2692969%20 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Li Tu54c458.21$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.973,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Rio Noguchi45c448.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0996035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Rio Noguchi70c431.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.096852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Rio Noguchi48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6737854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Rio Noguchi48c412.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.520643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Li Tu49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4713959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91af…4794backed Rio Noguchi61c389.27$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Li Tu53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Li Tu55c361.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Rio Noguchi46c351.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2824438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Rio Noguchi42c339.75$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.061,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Li Tu52c325.87$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2128833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Li Tu38c315.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5968350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Li Tu53c309.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.315646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Li Tu53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1598951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Rio Noguchi54c287.82$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.641,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Rio Noguchi46c283.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.861,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rio Noguchi43c281.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.011,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Rio Noguchi45c279.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.991,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Li Tu41c274.94$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411058.2%64 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Li Tu58c273.24$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.422,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Li Tu56c266.67$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.621,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Rio Noguchi31c258.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4662534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Rio Noguchi45c219.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Rio Noguchi46c217.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3433149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Rio Noguchi47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7757349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Li Tu55c210.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11641544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d8…6481backed Li Tu55c202.7$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rio Noguchi55c201.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.494,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Li Tu41c199.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Li Tu24c197.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.791,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Li Tu25c187.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8441658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Rio Noguchi54c184.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.057142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Li Tu55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011850.8%60 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Li Tu58c173.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.861741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f7…bafbbacked Li Tu23c170.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rio Noguchi34c169.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.742,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Rio Noguchi50c159.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4221346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Li Tu30c153.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.021,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Li Tu53c151.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5854744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Li Tu41c150.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8717462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Rio Noguchi53c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8913147.3%62 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Li Tu33c147.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.772,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Rio Noguchi38c145.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.442,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Li Tu34c134.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6348652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rio Noguchi63c129.65$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.956,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Rio Noguchi43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2835730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…8eadbacked Li Tu55c114.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.69425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Rio Noguchi42c107.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Li Tu58c107.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.517447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Rio Noguchi45c102$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.14124.4%10 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Rio Noguchi52c101.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6533163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6050…80d6backed Rio Noguchi45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Rio Noguchi48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5246556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Li Tu53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Li Tu56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb508…bafbbacked Li Tu58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Rio Noguchi77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Li Tu58c95.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.672846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Rio Noguchi42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.249565.3%62 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Rio Noguchi54c92.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7594549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Li Tu14c90.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7710857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.