TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Under52c21,348$11,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,187.2578155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c16,756$8,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,061.6625145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Over47c15,597$7,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,266.341533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c9,265$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,725.281,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over47c7,671$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,065.542661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over48c3,104$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.092646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over49c3,075$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.255060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over46c2,991$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.363554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under51c2,772$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.413053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over49c2,486$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.744143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c2,414$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.555,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over49c2,155$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.014360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over49c2,010$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.064656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over50c1,983$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.2560949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,872$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under51c1,710$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.0410749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over47c1,507$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.8940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over49c1,506$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.241546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+183.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9622349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Over49c1,394$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c1,235$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.3492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c1,155$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.531,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56118556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over49c1,040$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.781952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Over49c1,030$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.63554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5206336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5108254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Over50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6344452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c780.62$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.981,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under54c764.78$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.837540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Over47c738.19$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.242462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under21c652.49$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c564.98$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8485248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c533.36$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.684,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c398.37$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.062,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c388.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Under52c381.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.25911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-78.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over67c326.7$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under52c324.14$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.558845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c320.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.921,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c318.19$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1969350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over50c297.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.695350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Over47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over47c208.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.335660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde2…b8d7backed Over49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over47c202.28$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.217655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c198.26$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0862451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c180.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.71,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Over47c168.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.522462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Under11c160.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.942218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-62.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over47c156.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0112254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed Over47c150.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.883770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed Over47c150.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.881369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Over47c137.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over47c130.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.354961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Over47c130.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.354454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c117.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3816650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over46c114.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.012065%13 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over47c113.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.367460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over47c109.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.792157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Over47c106.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.226040%24 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over46c105.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1219348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked Over47c105.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under54c101.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.620642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over46c99.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.642268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Under52c99.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.552516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed Under13c93.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under54c92.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7848551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Under54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe1…e700backed Over47c82.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Under25c79.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over57c78.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.89352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over60c77.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5619147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under54c74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed Over47c62.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.212665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under16c60.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0114245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Over47c60.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.954866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Over58c59.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.132263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…6a5fbacked Under54c56.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc60…739ebacked Under54c56.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac0…12b5backed Under54c55.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under54c55.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9830050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe804…6a81backed Under54c55.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b7…b429backed Under54c55.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under54c55.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9824148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under54c55.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9832850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over47c55.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3927650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over47c54.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.062875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under54c54.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5415850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79f1…6e8dbacked Under54c54.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over47c54.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.94959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc147…1344backed Under54c53.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c52.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9433058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa080…e029backed Over47c52.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.