Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b9cf50be1f86af9ed12b3b85b4f5c83093dfedc5ed5513b44405da3d0f0a08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 55c | 5,253$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.95 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 4,857$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 57c | 1,406$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.31 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Over | 45c | 1,101$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 557.76$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 56c | 531.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 354.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 268.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 43c | 196.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 164.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 158.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Over | 48c | 130.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 126.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 121$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 53c | 97.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 44c | 84.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 77c | 76.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Over | 45c | 66.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 56c | 65.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Over | 48c | 62.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 45c | 57.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…1455backed Under | 56c | 57.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a7…5a3bbacked Under | 56c | 57.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4a64backed Under | 56c | 57.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 45c | 57.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4ba6backed Under | 56c | 55.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…2920backed Under | 56c | 50.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Over | 79c | 49.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…de3dbacked Under | 56c | 49.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 42c | 49.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…ff57backed Under | 56c | 47.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…bf96backed Under | 56c | 46.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbb…0dadbacked Under | 56c | 45.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc885…a5d5backed Under | 56c | 45.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…4e8dbacked Over | 55c | 45.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb09d…a5e7backed Under | 56c | 44.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Under | 45c | 44.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee0…2545backed Under | 56c | 43.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…f69ebacked Under | 56c | 42.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 72c | 41.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…99bebacked Under | 56c | 41.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 65c | 37.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…b86abacked Under | 56c | 37.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…ff45backed Under | 56c | 37.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf384…125dbacked Under | 56c | 37.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1055backed Under | 56c | 36.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…da59backed Over | 46c | 36.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…adb0backed Under | 56c | 35.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…c2d9backed Under | 56c | 34.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…ef6bbacked Under | 56c | 34.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 78c | 33.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…4677backed Under | 56c | 33.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…c48dbacked Under | 56c | 33.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2319…64a0backed Under | 56c | 33.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…ef67backed Under | 56c | 33.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…0eb2backed Under | 56c | 32.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…cc49backed Under | 56c | 32.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…6e8cbacked Under | 56c | 32.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…f537backed Under | 56c | 31.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61c…c177backed Under | 56c | 31.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…5b76backed Under | 56c | 30.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Under | 45c | 30.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Over | 45c | 27.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 59c | 23.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…dab3backed Under | 56c | 23.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 167.5this page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 175.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 185.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 191.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)Arizona Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.