TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1a8…dab3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.98
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.11
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.03
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$9.76
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Hawks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 119.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+62.6%+$62.57
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$20.69
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+27.6%+$18.46
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Filsbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.38
Set Handicap: Kessler (-1.5) vs Kalieva (+1.5)backed Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$10.02
Jiri Lehecka vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$7.83
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Split: Lukas Neumayer vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.26
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.73
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 2 Leeds United FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.06
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.61
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23.3
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.98
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$65.77
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.41
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.