TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,099 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c49,406$27,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,949.514,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b9…51f6backed Over44c43,733$19,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,490.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over44c40,943$18,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,927.92065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over43c34,759$15,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,718.733342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c7,471$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.4250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under56c6,071$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under56c5,148$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.14650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over45c5,111$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.111471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under56c4,641$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5991070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97fb…354fbacked Under56c4,539$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over34c4,300$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.483438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcde4…91b3backed Under56c4,066$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under55c3,997$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.5515952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under56c3,576$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.565757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under55c3,441$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.618756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed Under56c3,143$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under55c2,890$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.291540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under56c2,804$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5705149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c2,672$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.151,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under56c2,550$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4286360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under56c2,522$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.3226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under56c2,296$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c2,273$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.792,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c1,692$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.1942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under1c1,320$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22416.7%4 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+202.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c1,256$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453d…86aabacked Under56c1,250$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under56c1,092$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.276460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under56c940$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.415250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under56c894.64$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under57c863$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.8620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under67c724.68$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.5469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over35c714.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2911929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39912954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Under57c681.5$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under56c660.71$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c635.69$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6324145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c635.69$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6312445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under4c613$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.325520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5611651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over44c520.53$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7211741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under57c502.26$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0841147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.55058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Over45c436.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.32458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c420.28$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.361,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c367.46$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.193,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under58c359.5$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under56c356$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over42c352.68$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5530446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over45c351.35$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2413054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c342.13$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.761,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under56c286.97$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.720245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3548…14dabacked Under44c273.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under57c234.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2130749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2722939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Under44c226.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over43c223.87$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.64654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under56c219$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.644351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fc…04aabacked Under56c210.14$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c201.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8332645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1345137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under57c189.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under56c177.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15d2…bac3backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under65c145.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.671,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under56c144.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.56261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under57c144.4$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.754959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Over45c138.6$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over45c135$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked Over45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under55c119.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7911336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.117865.4%51 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over36c110$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.76349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under56c97.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.127850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…2139backed Under56c97.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.761233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over42c97.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.622867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.894740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x723a…c574backed Under59c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.84647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over44c71.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Under56c70.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405464.8%35 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under57c70.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.