La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x263d814710a0dae1251a542e1b756ec0efa4180b121b7395cb2aad7be4a3807a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deportivo Alavésof RC Celta de Vigo, Deportivo Alavés
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,333 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 43c | 1,187$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.06 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Deportivo Alavés | 69c | 1,043$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 1,042$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 784$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 647$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed RC Celta de Vigo | 44c | 408.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Deportivo Alavés | 30c | 232.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 192.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 61c | 108.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 59c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 55.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Deportivo Alavés | 29c | 38.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 38.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.