La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x581aca2fdf0b9328fd82797196c6213fef381588d502495ff83865c0b63a9549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 51c | 2,125$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 51c | 1,447$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.06 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,087$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.51 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 51c | 884.59$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.14 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 729.97$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.69 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed No | 10c | 599.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 294.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 49c | 262.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 53c | 138$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 48c | 136.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 52c | 77.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 68.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 47c | 52.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…2101backed Yes | 50c | 51.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 51c | 44.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 50c | 41.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 37.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 28.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 28.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 47c | 22.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…7199backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.