La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c9b71569ea17397b82c23798435f8fd0b4ebd21180814222e3b0b4ea6cff07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,908$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 80c | 1,357$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 20c | 1,345$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.68 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 952.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 625.28$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 41c | 605.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.86 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 45c | 441.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 24c | 333.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…30b6backed Under | 78c | 236.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 199.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Under | 70c | 152.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 80c | 125.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 24c | 91.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 32c | 78.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 30c | 60.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 31c | 57.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1012…b940backed Under | 70c | 36.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 31c | 33.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 78c | 25.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Over | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.