Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Christopher Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8075a369109087f9e515a5eb6873eca875268811e1881f636e2f34b12b142d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Roncadelliof Franco Roncadelli, Christopher Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,818 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cdd…6261backed Christopher Li | 17c | 7,315$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027f…472abacked Christopher Li | 26c | 6,911$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Christopher Li | 16c | 3,714$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.24 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Franco Roncadelli | 76c | 2,845$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.64 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Christopher Li | 17c | 2,592$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.37 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Franco Roncadelli | 76c | 2,207$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.93 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Christopher Li | 30c | 1,761$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.04 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Franco Roncadelli | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.98 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Franco Roncadelli | 75c | 1,353$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.16 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Christopher Li | 16c | 362.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Christopher Li | 12c | 316.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Christopher Li | 14c | 304.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Christopher Li | 16c | 290.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…b7c8backed Franco Roncadelli | 71c | 282.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Christopher Li | 25c | 232.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Christopher Li | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 228.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 270 | 40%108 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Christopher Li | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Franco Roncadelli | 80c | 189.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Christopher Li | 38c | 188.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Christopher Li | 16c | 172.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Christopher Li | 21c | 172$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Christopher Li | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 140.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Franco Roncadelli | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…ddc3backed Christopher Li | 21c | 138.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Christopher Li | 14c | 138.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Christopher Li | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…6a13backed Franco Roncadelli | 79c | 130.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Christopher Li | 16c | 124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Christopher Li | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Christopher Li | 14c | 118.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Christopher Li | 17c | 116.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Christopher Li | 26c | 109.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Christopher Li | 20c | 100.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…438cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 72c | 99.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Christopher Li | 23c | 97.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Christopher Li | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Franco Roncadelli | 80c | 87.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Christopher Li | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Franco Roncadelli | 72c | 82.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Christopher Li | 25c | 81.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Christopher Li | 18c | 80.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…d7a8backed Christopher Li | 27c | 78.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Christopher Li | 25c | 77.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Franco Roncadelli | 75c | 65.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Christopher Li | 34c | 64.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Christopher Li | 21c | 63.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Christopher Li | 44c | 57.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Christopher Li | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Christopher Li | 45c | 52.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 79c | 47.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 163 | 69.3%113 W · 50 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Franco Roncadelli | 74c | 47.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 65c | 42.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…14dabacked Franco Roncadelli | 72c | 40.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Franco Roncadelli | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 34.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Christopher Li | 31c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Franco Roncadelli | 66c | 25.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Franco Roncadelli | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed Franco Roncadelli | 77c | 23.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…89a9backed Franco Roncadelli | 76c | 19.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Franco Roncadelli | 78c | 16.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Franco Roncadelli | 76c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Christopher Lithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Roncadelli vs LiLi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.