TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof JD Gaming, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,134 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2307…3934backed Weibo Gaming65c20,052$13,034 inWon+$7,018.1354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked JD Gaming35c16,985$5,994 inLost-$5,993.521,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed JD Gaming35c14,000$4,900 inLost-$4,90059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Weibo Gaming68c8,658$5,881 inWon+$2,777.2467056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Weibo Gaming65c5,780$3,757 inWon+$2,023.012,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked JD Gaming32c3,459$1,107 inLost-$1,106.8421754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Weibo Gaming64c3,000$1,920 inWon+$1,08047047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked JD Gaming32c2,998$959 inLost-$959.266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Weibo Gaming65c1,505$978 inWon+$526.6351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed JD Gaming34c1,500$513 inLost-$5131,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Weibo Gaming63c1,406$888 inWon+$518.2870456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming67c1,400$938 inWon+$461.931,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed JD Gaming33c1,161$383 inLost-$382.7133857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed JD Gaming34c847.41$288 inLost-$288.1291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Weibo Gaming66c732.23$483 inWon+$248.9696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed JD Gaming33c639.87$211 inLost-$211.167037.1%26 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed JD Gaming32c449.63$144 inLost-$143.8843640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Weibo Gaming66c370.8$243 inWon+$127.8313137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Weibo Gaming65c301.3$196 inWon+$105.518448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked JD Gaming36c211.57$77 inLost-$76.9546154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa1…71a1backed JD Gaming33c173.17$57 inLost-$57.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed JD Gaming32c149.88$48 inLost-$47.9692342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Weibo Gaming70c140.29$98 inWon+$42.0949346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Weibo Gaming71c137.8$98 inWon+$39.525834.5%20 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+82.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed JD Gaming32c134.89$43 inLost-$43.1680832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed JD Gaming35c125.85$45 inLost-$44.5136047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Weibo Gaming42c116.46$49 inWon+$67.5535054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed JD Gaming35c116.17$41 inLost-$40.6620332%65 W · 138 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Weibo Gaming68c115.39$78 inWon+$36.922045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming28c107.45$30 inLost-$30.012,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked JD Gaming32c105.51$34 inLost-$33.761,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed JD Gaming32c92.65$30 inLost-$29.6517933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed JD Gaming36c66.24$24 inLost-$24.051,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed JD Gaming35c65.66$23 inLost-$22.983860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed JD Gaming49c60$29 inLost-$29.12626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.5wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Weibo Gaming66c60$40 inWon+$20.228559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed JD Gaming28c56.22$16 inLost-$16.0160849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed JD Gaming29c55$16 inLost-$15.9574949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Weibo Gaming71c51.6$37 inWon+$14.7986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a41…15b2backed Weibo Gaming72c49.16$35 inWon+$13.7613842.8%59 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Weibo Gaming65c45.18$29 inWon+$15.813548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked JD Gaming35c30$11 inLost-$10.536952.3%193 W · 176 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa548…8149backed Weibo Gaming52c29.14$15 inWon+$13.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Weibo Gaming51c29.12$15 inWon+$14.2737641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Weibo Gaming80c15$12 inWon+$31,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.