Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01de39f0396ada3836d5a20835b9993add7098317cd82398bc4a0f5df5198aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 51c | 1,876$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.53 | 473 | 47.4%224 W · 249 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 68c | 874.18$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 962 | 54.3%522 W · 440 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 27c | 749.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over | 49c | 593.61$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.79 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 30c | 390.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 47c | 373.58$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 21c | 272.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Over | 49c | 232.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 52c | 204.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…68d0backed Under | 53c | 201.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…cc55backed Over | 49c | 201.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Under | 53c | 183.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 63c | 135.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 52c | 100.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 45c | 96.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Over | 51c | 94.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 47c | 82.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 69.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 50c | 58.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 289 | 59.9%173 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 29c | 58.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 37c | 52.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 51.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…f185backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed Over | 53c | 47.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 50c | 37.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Over | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 65c | 30.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 66c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.