CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30add71481c5e39550f17bd0756546305e84fcdc76ae4965334208fffa3d04bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 3,444$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.19 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 3,166$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.21 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 3,011$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.04 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed MANA eSports | 19c | 2,196$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MANA eSports | 34c | 1,458$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.83 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked MANA eSports | 8c | 1,135$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MANA eSports | 33c | 1,071$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked MANA eSports | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MANA eSports | 33c | 857.98$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 34c | 740$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed MANA eSports | 35c | 672.79$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 68c | 458.52$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed MANA eSports | 32c | 356.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed MANA eSports | 35c | 277.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 27c | 239.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…ad3dbacked MANA eSports | 33c | 213$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed MANA eSports | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed MANA eSports | 35c | 164.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MANA eSports | 20c | 150.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…cf5fbacked MANA eSports | 13c | 144.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 140.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MANA eSports | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MANA eSports | 35c | 126.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MANA eSports | 31c | 126$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MANA eSports | 35c | 108$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed MANA eSports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed MANA eSports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed MANA eSports | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MANA eSports | 36c | 94.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked MANA eSports | 18c | 91.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed MANA eSports | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0880backed MANA eSports | 36c | 63.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 56.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports | 34c | 55.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed MANA eSports | 35c | 40.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 34.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7c…7932backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)CYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.