CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf33a24c2e5ecefcd73a1b649a34d19faa863e25c138d15e958cbbaa251da0aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 605.12$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed MANA eSports | 39c | 597.31$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 59c | 551.1$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked MANA eSports | 40c | 544.66$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 504.84$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MANA eSports | 39c | 358.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 337.1$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 28c | 229.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed MANA eSports | 40c | 154.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MANA eSports | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed MANA eSports | 19c | 118.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed MANA eSports | 49c | 91.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MANA eSports | 28c | 63.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked MANA eSports | 27c | 59.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 55.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 37.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 30.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)CYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.