CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ed4bffbad501bba50fdf78d550c27a7751faf8968945a3c31707cb0e6510350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Favbet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x421b…8982backed Acend | 80c | 655.03$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet | 20c | 633.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Favbet | 32c | 524.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 43c | 504.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 20c | 501.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Acend | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Favbet | 57c | 472.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.17 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Favbet | 55c | 271.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Acend | 44c | 164$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Acend | 57c | 158.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…4a35backed Favbet | 14c | 136.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Favbet | 58c | 116.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed Acend | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Acend | 41c | 94.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Acend | 45c | 75.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Acend | 38c | 75.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Acend | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Acend | 67c | 60.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Favbet | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Acend | 36c | 40.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0880backed Favbet | 67c | 39.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…ac80backed Favbet | 59c | 39.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Acend | 41c | 31.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Favbet | 64c | 30.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Favbet | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Acend | 54c | 25.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Favbet | 70c | 25.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Favbet | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Acend | 70c | 22.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Favbet | 51c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Acend | 71c | 20.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Favbet | 57c | 17.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Favbet | 59c | 17.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet - Map 1 WinnerAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.