CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9c56e9bff4b05888e1ec2b74716029ab0c1c51e46bc653380497656d7905c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Favbet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Favbet | 51c | 2,331$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.04 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Acend | 47c | 916.87$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.92 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 50c | 652.11$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Favbet | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend | 46c | 338.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Acend | 57c | 292.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Favbet | 48c | 291.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Acend | 40c | 250.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Acend | 56c | 194.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed Acend | 46c | 189.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Acend | 49c | 158.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Favbet | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Acend | 58c | 146.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Acend | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Favbet | 61c | 62.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Favbet | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Acend | 56c | 52.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Favbet | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked Acend | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Favbet | 61c | 22.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Favbet | 49c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.