Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef487d9042d168487b8331b14b32a3b11d0888ba11413bc555342a418c4c7df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed Oh My God | 43c | 20,228$8,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,695.94 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Weibo Gaming | 57c | 19,484$11,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,378.12 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Weibo Gaming | 56c | 10,619$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.33 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Oh My God | 44c | 9,216$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Oh My God | 43c | 8,041$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.3 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Weibo Gaming | 57c | 6,946$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.76 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Weibo Gaming | 56c | 3,695$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.84 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Weibo Gaming | 54c | 1,665$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.88 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oh My God | 46c | 1,589$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Weibo Gaming | 55c | 1,032$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.35 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Oh My God | 43c | 1,025$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.74 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Oh My God | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Oh My God | 44c | 562.27$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Weibo Gaming | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Oh My God | 45c | 494.67$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Oh My God | 43c | 494.26$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…388cbacked Oh My God | 45c | 494.24$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Oh My God | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Oh My God | 43c | 403.17$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Weibo Gaming | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Oh My God | 44c | 229.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Oh My God | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Oh My God | 44c | 217.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 329 | 54.4%179 W · 150 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Oh My God | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Weibo Gaming | 53c | 182.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Weibo Gaming | 57c | 171.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Weibo Gaming | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Oh My God | 46c | 152.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Weibo Gaming | 56c | 147.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Oh My God | 44c | 126.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Oh My God | 43c | 113.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Oh My God | 44c | 108.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oh My God | 43c | 106.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Weibo Gaming | 53c | 105.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 120 | 67.5%81 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Weibo Gaming | 58c | 100.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Weibo Gaming | 53c | 91.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Oh My God | 43c | 88.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Oh My God | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Weibo Gaming | 57c | 84.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Weibo Gaming | 56c | 82.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…c4bbbacked Oh My God | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Oh My God | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Oh My God | 44c | 46.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Oh My God | 44c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Weibo Gaming | 52c | 37.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 390 | 48.2%188 W · 202 L | +26.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Weibo Gaming | 58c | 36.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…bb8cbacked Oh My God | 44c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Oh My God | 52c | 33.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…1b52backed Oh My God | 43c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Oh My God | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Weibo Gaming | 60c | 28.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Weibo Gaming | 57c | 26.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Oh My God | 44c | 25.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…2752backed Weibo Gaming | 58c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…357bbacked Weibo Gaming | 58c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed Oh My God | 44c | 23.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oh My God | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…4632backed Weibo Gaming | 57c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Oh My God | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Oh My God | 57c | 18.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.