Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2506c74fdb94e0ba3d922babe0eb3c98f19c840f4437f34989c6598b852c5ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 67c | 9,801$6,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.57 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 33c | 8,344$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.58 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 66c | 4,898$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.47 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 65c | 2,953$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.41 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 35c | 2,422$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.7 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 34c | 1,120$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.09 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 35c | 288.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 35c | 138$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Over | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb74…2a6bbacked Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…30e0backed Over | 35c | 107.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Over | 37c | 101.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 26c | 76.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 43c | 72.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Over | 27c | 46.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 33c | 43.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 67c | 41.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Under | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 37c | 29.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 63c | 28.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 62c | 24.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 23.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 61c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.