TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes73c28,169$20,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,701.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No40c21,939$8,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,696.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes63c20,696$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,696.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes74c19,870$14,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,258.6910933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes62c12,956$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,956.0412646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes67c11,520$7,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,831.528743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes71c11,208$7,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.4911338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed No36c8,979$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,243.953935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No20c7,710$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.1828940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No37c7,494$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.31,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No36c6,256$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.1775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes63c4,424$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.37925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes51c4,341$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.716251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked No29c4,259$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.532828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No47c4,213$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.5621765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No51c4,104$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.2920665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No38c3,926$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4921643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes72c3,573$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.041,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No7c3,485$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.44436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes65c3,379$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.587741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes77c3,264$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.442462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c3,011$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.153,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes59c2,981$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.755837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c2,656$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.161,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No36c2,494$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.6426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8110875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No39c2,213$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.3412738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes70c2,072$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.913,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No26c2,067$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.7713748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No24c1,934$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.984852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No38c1,771$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.1631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1713…1986backed Yes58c1,713$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes78c1,485$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.528,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No30c1,445$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.635042%21 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes70c1,416$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.091,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes62c1,415$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.5217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No35c1,193$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.210649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No16c1,014$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.576412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No37c999.97$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No30c989.22$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.668268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes62c968.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.249920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked No39c955.13$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.53850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed No32c921.44$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.972544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No13c913.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0116641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6d…795fbacked Yes65c857.21$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked No36c833.12$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.643638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes55c813.4$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4714530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Yes59c800$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.067248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes73c768.17$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.221,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c759.27$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.011,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No38c749.61$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.012450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No42c684.78$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No38c671.37$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1219742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No39c640.96$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3845746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…fbfcbacked No38c638$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed No38c633.7$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes74c631.26$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.111354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes71c602.21$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.243959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Yes62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes75c596.2$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0455250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No30c591.1$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.426232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes61c589.6$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4616864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes59c556.66$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.42661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No21c554.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4164633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes68c534.83$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.526735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No42c495.2$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.632,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes63c466.67$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6713257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No13c459.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7712340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Yes62c457.11$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No39c455.06$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.315247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No36c435.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.971266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed No32c429.81$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.414934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed No35c426.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.023745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked Yes65c424.36$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.673836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No36c424.16$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked No40c423.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.466230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed No39c407.79$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.041952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes62c402.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0320934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes61c373$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.081,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No38c367.34$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes70c365.43$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.722,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No39c351.64$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1410446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed No12c351.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.132944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No38c346.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.316759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No39c327.08$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.567843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No39c327.08$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.569244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No40c311.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6241654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Yes63c304.79$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No28c302.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.593759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed No17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes74c288.51$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4742946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2968…1e6ebacked Yes72c275.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.583148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02fa…04d4backed No38c271.71$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked No17c270.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes61c246$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.941963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No29c237.48$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No35c234.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4519953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed No39c233.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.773339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.