Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Mateus Cardoso Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755420f4342e954185302f2eb31b7140a557929cf658fa8e081e4f1da1c25f20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Ficovichof Juan Pablo Ficovich, Mateus Cardoso Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 32c | 4,981$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.84 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 21c | 2,385$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.76 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 68c | 1,684$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.04 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 78c | 1,475$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 70c | 1,445$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.17 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 9c | 1,417$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 18c | 769.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 19c | 536.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 32c | 431.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 19c | 261.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 31c | 255.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 18c | 202.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 28c | 200.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 68c | 164.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 403 | 60.8%245 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 72c | 155.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 69c | 142.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 19c | 104.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 18c | 101.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 18c | 96.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 820 | 55%451 W · 369 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 18c | 67.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 70c | 55.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 70c | 52.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 71c | 52.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…bb8cbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 29c | 45.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mateus Cardoso Alves | 31c | 40.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…f8c1backed Mateus Cardoso Alves | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…15f7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 70c | 27.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…ab39backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 72c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 80c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.