Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f33ea8244e0662242c51be01941c33b347127a873b35b9e10c9392251f7d500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 10,972$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.21 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 5,697$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.61 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 4,137$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.86 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 3,267$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.54 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 59c | 2,200$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.99 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 35c | 2,195$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 67c | 1,920$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.69 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,848$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.93 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 1,449$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.16 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 14c | 1,355$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 1,170$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.35 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 990.38$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.21 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 58c | 881.95$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Under | 70c | 875.72$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 56c | 833.63$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 10c | 793.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 42c | 745.18$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 729.58$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.53 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 76c | 576.34$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Over | 42c | 574.52$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Under | 61c | 572.72$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 53c | 476.73$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 460.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 41c | 437$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 413.47$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 39c | 408.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.32 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 43c | 400.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 37c | 392.27$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 32c | 379.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 371.93$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 56c | 371.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 56c | 370$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 54c | 360.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.81 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 42c | 318$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Over | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 298$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 41c | 292.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 71c | 276.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Under | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 24c | 244.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 41c | 236.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 21c | 231.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 229.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 42c | 223.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 19c | 217.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 30c | 216.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under | 57c | 214$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…d196backed Under | 59c | 211.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 73c | 209.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 79c | 207.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 11c | 199.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 44c | 197.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 32c | 197.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 42c | 180.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 57c | 172.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 44c | 171.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 26c | 164.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 162.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 57c | 153.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 62c | 142.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 137.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Under | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Under | 58c | 118.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 11c | 118$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 62c | 116.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 116.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…9943backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 27c | 106.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 24c | 104.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 102.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Under | 57c | 102.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 78c | 100.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Over | 31c | 99.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 57c | 96.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 50c | 96.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 40c | 84.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 84.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…9e7abacked Under | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 58c | 80.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 64c | 78.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 42c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.