TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74d0…de45backed Under34c33,537$11,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,512.013450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c9,683$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,682.391,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over62c6,933$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.931546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over58c5,130$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.92835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x647a…4d7abacked Over64c1,345$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over72c1,213$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.522050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under43c1,135$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36029862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Over69c995.94$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c990.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under23c953.8$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.372763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c706.24$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over61c700$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under37c667.19$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over59c620.3$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.327051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over76c505.89$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over58c440.96$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9523345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over56c424.21$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over60c416$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+67.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over68c387$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.841060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under18c386.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.113445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under31c381.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2118951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over63c354.74$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.989056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over60c334.58$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.079561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Under34c329.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over62c312.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.833438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.436155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over69c299.17$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over56c267.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.722941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over76c259.37$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2519353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over63c254.85$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over62c237.08$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.21963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over58c219.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2813350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over68c200.69$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over76c197.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over57c191.01$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over72c185.1$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6621748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under35c162.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.71911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac8…6167backed Under25c155.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7217058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over71c150.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9613653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over72c142.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.48666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over76c125.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.193357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under40c121.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.714852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a2…f4cabacked Under35c111.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over76c111.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.726972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c110.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1620452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under33c101.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.598644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over68c101.42$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Over58c100.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.356040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c99.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over76c96.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2114748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over72c91.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.98958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over67c85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.059857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4214…1749backed Under25c84.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over69c77.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.84445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Under32c74.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.982931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Under28c74.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c72.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under32c71.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.022638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over65c71.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over69c71.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.041546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under21c69.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over69c69.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.496063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under35c68.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.033053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over73c66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.583076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Over69c56.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.852733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over61c44.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.225076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.656347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under33c40.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under31c38.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over65c38.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.431958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over67c38.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6239740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over67c35.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.721668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under32c35.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.464548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over65c31.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.076552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over71c30.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.073964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over58c30.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.711225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over68c28.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.14158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over73c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over70c26.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0513157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Over71c25.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed Over62c25.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over60c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.482020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over70c21.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82657.7%15 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over70c19.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.892157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over69c16.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Over69c14.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.656471.9%46 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.