Serie A · resolved market
Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x430c435d538594a59443ecd6900c58255fe49c1b3bec1be4e9ae8e1e70973733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ACF Fiorentinaof US Lecce, ACF Fiorentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked US Lecce | 1c | 2,135$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5756…7d39backed US Lecce | 3c | 956$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…7e23backed US Lecce | 3c | 956$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…4534backed US Lecce | 3c | 945$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…352dbacked US Lecce | 3c | 942$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…dffebacked US Lecce | 3c | 928$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…9bbdbacked US Lecce | 3c | 851$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…9e35backed US Lecce | 2c | 846$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f5…60d0backed US Lecce | 2c | 829$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…9268backed US Lecce | 3c | 826$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…2defbacked US Lecce | 2c | 801$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70b…a96fbacked US Lecce | 2c | 791$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…b589backed US Lecce | 3c | 791$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…7266backed US Lecce | 3c | 738$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…3c88backed US Lecce | 3c | 719$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…afcebacked US Lecce | 2c | 626$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…45f4backed US Lecce | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed US Lecce | 74c | 32.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed ACF Fiorentina | 51c | 19.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe152…586dbacked US Lecce | 67c | 15.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)this page
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.