Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2c98792ea2253b60de349465868e33848f1e42aeaab009e0d96d1fae365a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 65c | 1,046$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.4 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…6090backed No | 2c | 752.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked No | 38c | 646.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 599.99$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…907bbacked No | 67c | 443.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.53 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 46c | 424.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 6c | 376.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…610cbacked No | 55c | 230.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 199.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked No | 42c | 197.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 31c | 166.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…bc49backed No | 63c | 156.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 34c | 130.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 36c | 120.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 32c | 118$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…104cbacked No | 57c | 116.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed No | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 61c | 112.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 107.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 107.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…cfe9backed Yes | 53c | 97.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 47c | 95.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 33c | 89.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 55c | 86.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…75f3backed Yes | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 221 | 71%157 W · 64 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 44c | 80.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 54c | 73.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 51c | 71.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 64.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…fc2bbacked Yes | 76c | 63.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 40c | 61.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…07acbacked No | 64c | 60.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked No | 31c | 59.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 56.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 25c | 56.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 31c | 55.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…3afebacked Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 42c | 51.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 59c | 50.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed Yes | 24c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…8410backed Yes | 41c | 41.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 46c | 40.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…50c1backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…14ebbacked Yes | 41c | 38.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 33c | 38.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…3257backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 63c | 37.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 47c | 36.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Yes | 36c | 33.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…278ebacked Yes | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 434 | 30.9%134 W · 300 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 38c | 30.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…f375backed Yes | 42c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b4bebacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 34c | 29.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…e0b6backed Yes | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 202 | 30.2%61 W · 141 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 57c | 27.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…ae9bbacked No | 66c | 26.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 39c | 25.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…e362backed No | 53c | 24.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7229…ff73backed No | 53c | 23.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a9…4182backed No | 64c | 23.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked No | 68c | 22.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…76cfbacked No | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 20.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…31b6backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…2603backed Yes | 62c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…f1e6backed Yes | 75c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 71c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.