South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf441e5f9f7beedd9e15d8fdb28e60a3ce031dc0cd9ec78438e6aad5625702733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 3,492$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.06 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 1,192$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 17c | 859.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 19c | 753.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 729.95$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 686.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed Yes | 27c | 662$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 20c | 503.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 75c | 457.56$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 376.37$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 80c | 348.15$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 344.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 323.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 262.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…65f0backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 244.3$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 216.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 204.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 28c | 198.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 24c | 169.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 14c | 159.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 131$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 101.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 13c | 101.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…1297backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…0a29backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…a2b2backed Yes | 22c | 68.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed No | 80c | 67.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked No | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 23c | 55.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 26c | 45.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 26c | 45.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…25a6backed No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 32.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?Yes won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.