TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes50c178,525$88,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,145.1718352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No34c25,305$8,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,565.52,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No51c24,522$12,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,446.28351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No51c19,140$9,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,685.975543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c18,272$9,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,215.3520053%106 W · 94 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No51c16,240$8,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,282.45736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No50c14,093$7,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,046.296357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes76c10,761$8,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x359c…3272backed No50c9,743$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No51c9,466$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,827.637556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes51c6,869$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.431,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No51c6,792$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,463.928643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No51c5,944$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.533148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No51c5,392$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75017049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No25c5,035$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.511230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No50c5,005$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c4,272$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.115,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c4,174$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.72,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked No50c4,093$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No38c4,017$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.0575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No11c3,039$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.761,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c2,962$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.43,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No51c2,897$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4872948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c2,350$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.791,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No50c2,214$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.872944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No36c2,091$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.0221640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No22c1,633$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0650…865cbacked No51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No50c1,517$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.9842250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c1,396$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.11,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No32c1,204$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.6336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No51c1,130$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6121844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No24c1,061$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.431,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c1,033$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.653,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No42c901.62$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.141,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No33c801.44$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4615128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1c…d8acbacked No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No51c719.61$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3673754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No25c666.57$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8653836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c635.99$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.162,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes48c606.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.621,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…5576backed Yes51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No50c508.06$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No39c492.89$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7512958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed No7c425$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.751020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0710…06bebacked Yes79c422.1$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4f8ebacked No15c337.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.291442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No50c297$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No27c286$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No15c281.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.641,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes48c242.08$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8815041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed No21c239.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.776168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c235$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.51,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No21c232.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.261,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No16c224.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7316842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c202.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.791,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No49c199.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.984841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No24c199.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.825044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a3…de4abacked Yes49c189.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No51c185.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.453571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes48c176.59$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3918452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Yes55c176.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No24c172.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed No53c162.68$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No15c158.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No31c149.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.331553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No31c149.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.331275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No31c149.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked No31c149.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes54c148.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.662240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No52c144.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9735…b03bbacked Yes74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No31c132.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1426745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No53c129.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.45754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e2…0cf6backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No50c122.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4278856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No39c112$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8213457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes48c110.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.611250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No27c110.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0113248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No24c106.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4741145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick50cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No52c99.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked No51c97.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01c…c775backed No50c86.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa823…6215backed No50c85.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.