Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38b2ac5fab0bc25d03e3f299c844c624e468f20b520b86b97e299f6517c65c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 28,346$14,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,456.64 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 21,562$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,212.4 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.99 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.98 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 10,137$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.5 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed G2 Esports | 48c | 9,771$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 54c | 5,000$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.53 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed G2 Esports | 49c | 4,418$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.18 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,500$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked G2 Esports | 48c | 3,246$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.83 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed G2 Esports | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.91 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 Esports | 48c | 2,468$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.73 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,405$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed G2 Esports | 49c | 2,121$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.71 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed G2 Esports | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,836$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.23 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed G2 Esports | 47c | 1,760$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.96 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed G2 Esports | 44c | 1,538$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.14 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,264$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.23 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 1,256$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.39 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,161$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed G2 Esports | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed G2 Esports | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed G2 Esports | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 888$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.76 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 789.58$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.58 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 782.25$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.36 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 583.61$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 582.61$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 514.21$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.39 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed G2 Esports | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed G2 Esports | 46c | 456.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed G2 Esports | 47c | 430$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed G2 Esports | 49c | 418.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…3668backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 372.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…af0abacked G2 Esports | 47c | 370$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed G2 Esports | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 279.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 251.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed G2 Esports | 49c | 239.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 453 | 66%299 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked G2 Esports | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed G2 Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked G2 Esports | 56c | 202.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 184.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 184.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 184.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked G2 Esports | 45c | 171.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed G2 Esports | 49c | 160.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 Esports | 55c | 148.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed G2 Esports | 47c | 129.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 124.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed G2 Esports | 56c | 107.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed G2 Esports | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 95.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…a620backed G2 Esports | 49c | 91.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 87.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 232 | 41.4%96 W · 136 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 86.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked G2 Esports | 47c | 82.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked G2 Esports | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…25edbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed G2 Esports | 57c | 77.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked G2 Esports | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 73.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 72.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…747fbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 63.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…1a0dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 63.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed G2 Esports | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed G2 Esports | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 50.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked G2 Esports | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 47.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed G2 Esports | 53c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 45.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed G2 Esports | 50c | 44.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…aa2abacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 43.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed G2 Esports | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed G2 Esports | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 39.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…291bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.