Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x126f2852525594acf090a824355b72f3e05763a8f175c49cc8daf392966badf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf859…a183backed G2 Esports | 77c | 30,000$23,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,920.48 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed G2 Esports | 77c | 19,866$15,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.25 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 15,087$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.13 | 575 | 46.3%266 W · 309 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 75c | 13,500$10,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…64acbacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 7,905$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.15 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…122bbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 5,924$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.9 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 5,604$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.43 | 975 | 27.8%271 W · 704 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…5442backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 5,048$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.84 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 4,955$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 4,410$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.55 | 363 | 34.4%125 W · 238 L | -21.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 4,148$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.38 | 545 | 55.2%301 W · 244 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 4,052$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.94 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Esports | 78c | 4,022$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.6 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 3,832$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.67 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 3,616$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.59 | 861 | 36.2%312 W · 549 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,904$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,893$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…8f69backed G2 Esports | 78c | 2,500$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed G2 Esports | 79c | 2,298$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.1 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed G2 Esports | 77c | 2,221$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.83 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,137$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.75 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,991$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,963$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.69 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked G2 Esports | 72c | 1,955$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.03 | 843 | 60.7%512 W · 331 L | +44.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,696$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,682$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.86 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…137dbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 1,618$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.08 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,535$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.16 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,517$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.95 | 250 | 74.8%187 W · 63 L | +42.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,221 | 35.9%438 W · 783 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,466$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,450$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,439$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.38 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,406$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed G2 Esports | 74c | 1,379$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.19 | 464 | 64%297 W · 167 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,353$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.84 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,277$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.94 | 669 | 42.9%287 W · 382 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed G2 Esports | 79c | 1,259$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 507 | 70%355 W · 152 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…9516backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,170$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,139$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed G2 Esports | 71c | 1,046$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 252 | 65.5%165 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,039$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.44 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,037$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.3 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed G2 Esports | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed G2 Esports | 79c | 928.76$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,187 | 51.9%616 W · 571 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 778.26$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed G2 Esports | 69c | 750$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed G2 Esports | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 699.55$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked G2 Esports | 79c | 689.35$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 596 | 58.2%347 W · 249 L | -29.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed G2 Esports | 75c | 675.01$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 672.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 653.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 627.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 600$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 562.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 556.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 476.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 464.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 454.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked G2 Esports | 72c | 416.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 503 | 55.3%278 W · 225 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked G2 Esports | 74c | 406.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 831 | 49.8%414 W · 417 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 268 | 34.3%92 W · 176 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 389$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 464 | 50.6%235 W · 229 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 363.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…eb8dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 329.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 315.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 295.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 287.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed G2 Esports | 79c | 280.69$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 864 | 51.4%444 W · 420 L | +52.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…3fabbacked G2 Esports | 73c | 273.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…1a8bbacked G2 Esports | 76c | 264.09$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 473 | 64.3%304 W · 169 L | -20.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 257.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 974 | 52.5%511 W · 463 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed G2 Esports | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 248.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 298 | 23.8%71 W · 227 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed G2 Esports | 74c | 242$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed G2 Esports | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 214.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 699 | 41.9%293 W · 406 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 203.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 523 | 44.9%235 W · 288 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…8607backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…359cbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…8b9ebacked G2 Esports | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked G2 Esports | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…0d70backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 196.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Esports | 79c | 189$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 184.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.