TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8752…8607

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.57
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$173.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$227
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$205.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$128.18
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$165.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.98
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$902.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.8
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.11
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.52
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96.7
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$162.5
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$264.08
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.49
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.59
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$454.99
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.72
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+201%+$395.19
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+172.8%+$185.03
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.15
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$54.6
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$100.57
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.43
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25.3%+$62.67
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+150%+$120
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$962.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$222
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.