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Premier League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc61d…3933backed Over48c955.6$458 inWon+$497.8712339.8%49 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c539$275 inLost-$274.8975256.4%424 W · 328 L+43.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ae7…1eebbacked Over46c253.86$118 inWon+$136.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Under53c200$107 inLost-$1072245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c196.51$102 inLost-$102.191,08045.2%488 W · 592 L-19.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Under55c99.98$55 inLost-$54.994845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over45c75.45$34 inWon+$41.522049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under50c73.06$37 inLost-$36.7613054.6%71 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over48c72.92$35 inWon+$37.925145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under52c67.99$35 inLost-$35.3511248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Over48c62.77$30 inWon+$32.771457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under51c60.78$31 inLost-$316157.4%35 W · 26 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+38.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4fa5…a15abacked Under55c54.55$30 inLost-$303363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb719…c1e1backed Over48c50$24 inWon+$26.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon+$24.443956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over48c39.58$19 inWon+$20.582065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over47c39.43$19 inWon+$20.726535.4%23 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73ec…9659backed Under55c36$20 inLost-$19.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc06…d3b7backed Over45c32.6$15 inWon+$17.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under51c25$13 inLost-$12.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6072…2ca2backed Under56c21.43$12 inLost-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.