Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc0dbd1bfbf09a181b50f7c39c2e8768e072e02e87c5ce341edb59c55bc1acfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,466$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.55 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 767.84$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.29 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 57c | 324.85$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 26c | 195.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 103.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 49c | 99.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 64c | 89.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 84.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 79.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked No | 54c | 77.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 59.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 55c | 54.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 52c | 35.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 52c | 26.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed No | 52c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 74c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.