Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8ded8714ef5134342dfed23bbc13dfa87f87dd9b41439dc5c94fb8dd126a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 54c | 7,361$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 6,533$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.44 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 42c | 6,321$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 5,100$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 41c | 1,827$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.31 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 47c | 1,689$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.83 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 846.65$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.84 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…66bfbacked Under | 25c | 825.32$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 726.42$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.52 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 673.49$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 60c | 331.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 61c | 330.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 46c | 292.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 205.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 173.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 163.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 24c | 104.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 56c | 73.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 65c | 70.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked Under | 32c | 66.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 64.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 75c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 70c | 55.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 42c | 39.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 30c | 39.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 60c | 34.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 47c | 33.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Over | 74c | 31.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 75c | 29.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 29.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 44c | 28.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 60c | 25.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 59c | 24.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 74c | 23.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 71c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 76c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.