Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd964db7d449da64ac8377eddd3936af1b90ffecc49cc0b73dfeecf95ac2abc6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 65c | 4,580$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 4,352$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.3 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 15c | 2,410$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.2 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 53c | 2,258$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 2,135$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.34 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 57c | 1,959$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.54 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 23c | 1,848$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.16 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,650$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.7 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,370$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.24 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 705.76$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.76 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 70c | 527.83$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 455.24$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 364.58$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 341.82$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 38c | 324.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Over | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 61c | 262.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 56c | 221.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 27c | 173.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 160.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…a620backed Over | 51c | 155.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 50c | 149.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 128.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 62c | 122.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 120.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 107.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 35c | 102.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…c3acbacked Under | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 83.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 62c | 70.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 26c | 68.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 16c | 67.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 52c | 63.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 41c | 62.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…95aebacked Under | 52c | 57.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…9939backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 53c | 55.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 49c | 50.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 50c | 41.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 49c | 40.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 49c | 37.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Over | 42c | 37.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 27.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 47c | 24.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.