TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Estoril Open, Qualification: Orlando Luz vs Clement Tabur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Orlando Luzof Orlando Luz, Clement Tabur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6982…a165backed Orlando Luz31c27,027$8,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,775.5662956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Clement Tabur18c16,069$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,93071329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd947…7451backed Clement Tabur53c12,000$6,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,359.228662.8%54 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Clement Tabur51c9,519$4,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,867.048,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Clement Tabur14c4,285$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.96448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Orlando Luz49c3,516$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.4611,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Clement Tabur38c3,504$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.054,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Clement Tabur54c3,411$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.98,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Orlando Luz38c3,165$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.452,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x841d…4a16backed Clement Tabur65c3,131$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.984770.2%33 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Orlando Luz25c3,011$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.61,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Clement Tabur52c2,717$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41333156.2%186 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Orlando Luz52c2,630$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.684,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Clement Tabur54c1,661$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.9148555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Clement Tabur63c1,586$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.8410152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Clement Tabur64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clement Tabur69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0359,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Clement Tabur51c1,364$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.6411153.2%59 W · 52 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Orlando Luz47c1,364$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.259553.8%320 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Orlando Luz46c1,256$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.032,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Orlando Luz8c1,024$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.251,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Clement Tabur53c1,024$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7525255.2%139 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4159…beedbacked Orlando Luz47c1,015$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.016457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Orlando Luz34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66043950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed Clement Tabur10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Clement Tabur10c929.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.923,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe22…b709backed Clement Tabur56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Orlando Luz23c861.14$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.730031.7%95 W · 205 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Orlando Luz20c783.7$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9636744.4%163 W · 204 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Orlando Luz11c783.68$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.4744018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Clement Tabur15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041131.9%131 W · 280 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Orlando Luz47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Orlando Luz45c623.87$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1311047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Clement Tabur20c600$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5480153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Orlando Luz34c588.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2850655.5%281 W · 225 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Orlando Luz9c547.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.215,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Orlando Luz34c516.34$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1135153.8%189 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Orlando Luz62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8744051.6%227 W · 213 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Orlando Luz27c449$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7730563.9%195 W · 110 L+34.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Orlando Luz49c435.9$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.741,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Orlando Luz45c435.64$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.641,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Clement Tabur59c420.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25087237.2%324 W · 548 L-3.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Clement Tabur59c417.51$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3228147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Clement Tabur75c412.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9736157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Orlando Luz44c400$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2264,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Clement Tabur55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Clement Tabur28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Orlando Luz20c350$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28090454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d90…42bebacked Orlando Luz8c339.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.031030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid+66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Orlando Luz8c321.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1419537.4%73 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab70…774cbacked Clement Tabur52c311.4$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8816957.4%97 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Orlando Luz43c300.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.731,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Orlando Luz21c285.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2275,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Clement Tabur42c282.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.16,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b53…db22backed Clement Tabur69c274.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.292634.6%9 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-41.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Orlando Luz42c268.27$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.272,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Clement Tabur43c263.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11430048.3%145 W · 155 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Clement Tabur79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034764%222 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Orlando Luz67c248.73$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.082,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Clement Tabur58c241.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025863.2%163 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Clement Tabur38c240$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.666830.5%204 W · 464 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Clement Tabur65c230.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9920360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Clement Tabur75c230$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.96761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Orlando Luz46c229.37$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8679857.6%460 W · 338 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Clement Tabur56c226.37$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.631,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cdd…db30backed Orlando Luz9c221.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1818325.1%46 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Clement Tabur54c214.76$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9746453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4741…6af1backed Orlando Luz10c210$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189698.7%6 W · 63 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa657…31a1backed Orlando Luz49c210$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.258265.9%54 W · 28 L+12.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Orlando Luz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Clement Tabur5c199.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Orlando Luz66c197$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.982,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Clement Tabur50c191.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5447251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Clement Tabur53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Orlando Luz49c184.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.011,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Clement Tabur56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6f…e043backed Clement Tabur51c162.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Clement Tabur38c161.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.294,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Orlando Luz62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Clement Tabur63c158.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Clement Tabur54c151.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7588935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Orlando Luz42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8734748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Orlando Luz10c149.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.452,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Orlando Luz8c140$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.867848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Orlando Luz47c131.89$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.944950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Clement Tabur40c129.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Clement Tabur79c124$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9692674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19a…2d2dbacked Clement Tabur56c122.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.63063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Clement Tabur50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6039444.4%175 W · 219 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Orlando Luz44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6430355.8%169 W · 134 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Orlando Luz44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6491255.9%510 W · 402 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Orlando Luz44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6487054.6%475 W · 395 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Orlando Luz44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6493055.9%520 W · 410 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Orlando Luz25c108.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.836530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Orlando Luz47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3878757.1%449 W · 338 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2180…df40backed Orlando Luz48c102.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.387048.6%34 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Orlando Luz40c100.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6222552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Clement Tabur30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Clement Tabur63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6334553.3%184 W · 161 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Clement Tabur52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.993,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.