Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Luz vs Tabur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf904814dd47d88dd273d15d4ea4ff03603b4fa664b742ac55f90859cedf8a831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luzof Luz, Tabur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Luz | 35c | 1,251$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.82 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tabur | 31c | 850$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.94 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luz | 56c | 607.58$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Tabur | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Tabur | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Tabur | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Luz | 35c | 286.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luz | 69c | 285.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tabur | 65c | 267.83$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Tabur | 50c | 87.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Luz | 19c | 77.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tabur | 60c | 71.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Luz | 49c | 66.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Tabur | 57c | 52.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Tabur | 80c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Tabur | 76c | 34.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Luz | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Luz | 44c | 26.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Tabur | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Tabur | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed Tabur | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Tabur | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Tabur | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Luz vs Taburthis page
- Estoril Open, Qualification: Orlando Luz vs Clement TaburOrlando Luz won
- Set Handicap: Tabur (-1.5) vs Luz (+1.5)Luz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.