UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590a8294ab8eaee59a1186f1208637f5168ff6295d522903fd7ceaf417ebe23f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vinicius Oliveiraof Andre Fili, Vinicius Oliveira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Andre Fili | 28c | 25,787$7,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,325.09 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vinicius Oliveira | 70c | 19,416$13,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.81 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Andre Fili | 30c | 17,795$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Andre Fili | 32c | 15,042$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,754.74 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 11,268$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.61 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Andre Fili | 62c | 8,790$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450.06 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Andre Fili | 30c | 7,079$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vinicius Oliveira | 70c | 7,007$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Vinicius Oliveira | 64c | 5,100$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.03 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Andre Fili | 29c | 5,086$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.94 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Andre Fili | 34c | 4,725$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.9 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Vinicius Oliveira | 74c | 4,674$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vinicius Oliveira | 68c | 4,225$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.59 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Andre Fili | 26c | 3,296$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.7 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vinicius Oliveira | 70c | 3,043$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.92 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Vinicius Oliveira | 70c | 3,011$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.02 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Vinicius Oliveira | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Andre Fili | 55c | 2,478$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.85 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Andre Fili | 30c | 2,449$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Andre Fili | 21c | 2,133$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.63 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Andre Fili | 29c | 2,000$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.96 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Vinicius Oliveira | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Vinicius Oliveira | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.18 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Andre Fili | 28c | 1,810$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Andre Fili | 27c | 1,762$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.84 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Vinicius Oliveira | 69c | 1,661$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Vinicius Oliveira | 72c | 1,523$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.53 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Andre Fili | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Andre Fili | 30c | 1,233$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Vinicius Oliveira | 70c | 1,224$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.91 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Andre Fili | 43c | 1,187$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.73 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Vinicius Oliveira | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Vinicius Oliveira | 70c | 1,045$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Andre Fili | 28c | 1,016$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.61 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Andre Fili | 37c | 1,000$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.88 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Andre Fili | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 999.99$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.75 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Andre Fili | 33c | 897.07$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Andre Fili | 36c | 891.61$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.44 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Andre Fili | 24c | 791.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Vinicius Oliveira | 51c | 781.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.43 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Andre Fili | 35c | 751.52$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Vinicius Oliveira | 67c | 740.09$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Andre Fili | 30c | 716.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Andre Fili | 31c | 712.24$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 706.78$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Vinicius Oliveira | 46c | 700$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80dd…3c83backed Andre Fili | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…f4dfbacked Andre Fili | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Vinicius Oliveira | 54c | 653.32$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.32 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Andre Fili | 30c | 625.72$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Vinicius Oliveira | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Vinicius Oliveira | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Vinicius Oliveira | 72c | 553.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Andre Fili | 36c | 521.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Andre Fili | 63c | 505.37$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Vinicius Oliveira | 70c | 501.43$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Vinicius Oliveira | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Andre Fili | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Vinicius Oliveira | 54c | 465.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Andre Fili | 29c | 450.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Vinicius Oliveira | 39c | 447.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.61 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Andre Fili | 53c | 435.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Andre Fili | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 424.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Andre Fili | 28c | 420$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Andre Fili | 65c | 400$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 394.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…3c0dbacked Andre Fili | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 359.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Vinicius Oliveira | 46c | 358.58$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Andre Fili | 28c | 356$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Vinicius Oliveira | 70c | 347.01$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Andre Fili | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Andre Fili | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…0d02backed Andre Fili | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Vinicius Oliveira | 38c | 330.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.73 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Andre Fili | 30c | 315.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b335backed Vinicius Oliveira | 32c | 313.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vinicius Oliveira | 37c | 301$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Andre Fili | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Andre Fili | 19c | 299.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583d…d79bbacked Andre Fili | 28c | 299.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Andre Fili | 28c | 299.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Andre Fili | 35c | 286.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Vinicius Oliveira | 58c | 273.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Vinicius Oliveira | 71c | 264.03$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Vinicius Oliveira | 74c | 236.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Vinicius Oliveira | 43c | 227.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Andre Fili | 30c | 223.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5e…7e92backed Andre Fili | 49c | 214.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Andre Fili | 27c | 200.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Andre Fili | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Andre Fili | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Vinicius Oliveira | 67c | 193.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…75c2backed Andre Fili | 30c | 192.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Vinicius Oliveira win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.