Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Cobolli vs Fery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d7aedc3f6c29b37ed99e2025377e019e61daf5065ef67c729bf8eb578b375d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Cobolli, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cobolli | 29c | 2,328$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.03 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Fery | 50c | 1,203$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.35 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Fery | 50c | 905.31$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.31 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…6acfbacked Cobolli | 58c | 594.97$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Cobolli | 29c | 500$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cobolli | 49c | 488.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cobolli | 48c | 328.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Fery | 47c | 252.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Cobolli | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cobolli | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…929bbacked Fery | 44c | 229.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cobolli | 53c | 207.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Fery | 47c | 202$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Cobolli | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Fery | 63c | 149.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fery | 58c | 144.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Cobolli | 22c | 90.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Cobolli | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Cobolli | 25c | 58.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Cobolli | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Cobolli | 32c | 40.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fery | 61c | 39.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…9db6backed Cobolli | 61c | 27.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Cobolli vs Ferythis page
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
- Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.