Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd15c8bf99428636eed857ccce66438e41a0ab76a81e1df140354019ca51e99b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Cobolli, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Cobolli | 56c | 22,984$12,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,826.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fery | 44c | 10,388$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,819.73 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Fery | 44c | 9,338$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Fery | 41c | 9,048$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.75 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Cobolli | 58c | 7,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.97 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fery | 42c | 5,728$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.67 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Cobolli | 59c | 5,095$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Cobolli | 56c | 4,016$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.69 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fery | 45c | 2,727$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked Cobolli | 57c | 1,560$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Cobolli | 59c | 1,416$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Fery | 45c | 1,364$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fery | 56c | 1,344$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.36 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fery | 43c | 1,287$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.23 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Cobolli | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.99 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fery | 43c | 1,196$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.62 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Fery | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.37 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Cobolli | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Fery | 43c | 1,023$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.26 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Cobolli | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Fery | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fery | 45c | 863.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.83 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Fery | 44c | 768$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Cobolli | 59c | 670$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.3 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fery | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Cobolli | 58c | 568.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cobolli | 57c | 529.36$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.02 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Cobolli | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Fery | 43c | 467.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Fery | 43c | 456.72$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Cobolli | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cobolli | 56c | 421.71$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Cobolli | 55c | 352.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Cobolli | 56c | 347.73$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Cobolli | 49c | 324.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fery | 51c | 324.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Fery | 45c | 315$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Fery | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Cobolli | 45c | 215.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Fery | 45c | 205.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Fery | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Fery | 44c | 193.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Cobolli | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fery | 41c | 151.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…bac3backed Cobolli | 58c | 139.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Fery | 44c | 124.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Cobolli | 58c | 122$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fery | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fery | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Fery | 45c | 110.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Fery | 45c | 107.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Cobolli | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Cobolli | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Fery | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Cobolli | 58c | 82.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fery | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d9…86febacked Fery | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Fery | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cobolli | 56c | 76.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Fery | 43c | 73.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Fery | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd672…a971backed Cobolli | 58c | 69.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Fery | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Fery | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cobolli | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Cobolli | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Fery | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…ca69backed Cobolli | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cobolli | 59c | 36.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Cobolli | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14d…ea92backed Cobolli | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Cobolli | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Cobolli | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Cobolli | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Fery | 45c | 24.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)this page
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 3 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
- Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.