Tennis · resolved market
Generali Open, Qualification: Nico Hipfl vs Lorenzo Giustino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x781eb8bb4e0c5d37f32861034ff04f0d077f3ca77f24809602cb7dd751db038b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Giustinoof Nico Hipfl, Lorenzo Giustino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Nico Hipfl | 3c | 13,888$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nico Hipfl | 9c | 1,796$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Nico Hipfl | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Nico Hipfl | 10c | 531.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nico Hipfl | 7c | 462.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Nico Hipfl | 12c | 459.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nico Hipfl | 8c | 247.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nico Hipfl | 23c | 170.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…2236backed Nico Hipfl | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Nico Hipfl | 21c | 127.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…8d44backed Lorenzo Giustino | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Nico Hipfl | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Nico Hipfl | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nico Hipfl | 23c | 67.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Lorenzo Giustino | 74c | 52.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Lorenzo Giustino | 76c | 51.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 77c | 45.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.