Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5ffbb3b8edf59badb888a2b3c3a81d34c98dac9a4fe8d49dc18a293aba66b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 37c | 7,505$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.82 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 6,599$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.27 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 44c | 3,154$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.55 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 2,968$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 1,411$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.75 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 633.91$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 390.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed No | 32c | 356.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 278.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 60c | 234.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 170.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 45c | 148.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 144.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked No | 35c | 137.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 55c | 125.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 64c | 110.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 56c | 110.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 20c | 107.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 88.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 76c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 55c | 82.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 65c | 78.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 80c | 65.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2f…318bbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 30c | 52.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…8172backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…3efbbacked No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca3…8ccdbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes | 62c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 52c | 32.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…e3c6backed Yes | 36c | 30.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 25.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 60c | 23.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 66c | 17.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Polissia win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC København win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will FK Polissia vs. FC København end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.