Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e53017749f36d321bf058ff73c3e3dccdac5a2516e73fe903adc790b21ab1c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed No | 53c | 8,446$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.59 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 39c | 5,327$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.55 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 77c | 4,678$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.92 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed No | 37c | 2,387$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 2,021$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.26 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 1,299$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.01 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 919.11$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 894.3$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.25 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 714.58$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.56 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 43c | 514$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 506.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.98 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 48c | 451.94$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked No | 29c | 426.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 375.7$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 62c | 366.76$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.39 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 358.54$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Yes | 65c | 265$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 72c | 228.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 68c | 195.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 63c | 193.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 47c | 187.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 68c | 179.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 34c | 152.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 148.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 145.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 70c | 136.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 125.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 45c | 119.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 41c | 118.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked No | 33c | 115.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 38c | 113.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 28c | 111.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked No | 79c | 107.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 102.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 44c | 101.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 66c | 94.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 44c | 88.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 71c | 84.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 25c | 77.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 18c | 76.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Yes | 67c | 73.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 47c | 61.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 66c | 58.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…5a95backed Yes | 71c | 47.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 45c | 37.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 47c | 35.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 34c | 35.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Yes | 72c | 35.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Yes | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 32c | 32.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Yes | 72c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked No | 68c | 25.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 71c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 74c | 19.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked No | 68c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 70c | 16.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 73c | 16.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Yes | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-08?this page
- Will Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Connah's Quay Nomads FC win on 2026-07-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.