Tennis · resolved market
Generali Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Daniel Michalski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe453d6bd11fd6f9abc67b98072c642bae9e01978850c4a2dd2d28b271fda391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Cinaof Federico Cina, Daniel Michalski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Daniel Michalski | 10c | 9,196$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.15 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Daniel Michalski | 6c | 5,294$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.14 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Michalski | 13c | 1,226$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Michalski | 13c | 789.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…8b02backed Daniel Michalski | 28c | 653.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Daniel Michalski | 21c | 579.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Federico Cina | 73c | 505.05$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Daniel Michalski | 11c | 487.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Federico Cina | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniel Michalski | 9c | 292.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Daniel Michalski | 33c | 276.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Federico Cina | 75c | 240.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Michalski | 12c | 188.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked Federico Cina | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Daniel Michalski | 29c | 167.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Daniel Michalski | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Michalski | 25c | 163.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Michalski | 26c | 150.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Daniel Michalski | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Federico Cina | 78c | 128.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Daniel Michalski | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Federico Cina | 72c | 119.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Daniel Michalski | 34c | 116.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Daniel Michalski | 11c | 110.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Daniel Michalski | 26c | 91.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Daniel Michalski | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Federico Cina | 74c | 87.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Daniel Michalski | 28c | 79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniel Michalski | 24c | 73.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Daniel Michalski | 33c | 69.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Federico Cina | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Federico Cina | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Federico Cina | 73c | 60.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…fe38backed Federico Cina | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Federico Cina | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Michalski | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Federico Cina | 73c | 38.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Federico Cina | 72c | 35.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Daniel Michalski | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Federico Cina | 65c | 29.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Federico Cina | 75c | 26.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Federico Cina | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Federico Cina | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Federico Cina | 72c | 14.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 55 | 89.1%49 W · 6 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.