Tennis · resolved market
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd27d5b97b9df3a0eec81d07ea759e71d7dfc254a703b4204d7fbb820087a032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 43c | 599.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 43c | 465.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Over | 57c | 442.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 56c | 386.78$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.45 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Over | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Under | 52c | 187.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 57c | 174.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under | 43c | 171.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 56c | 132.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 56c | 122.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 56c | 121.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c03…3e4fbacked Over | 58c | 112.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 111.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Over | 56c | 99.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Over | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456f…cd98backed Over | 57c | 63.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb514…a2f1backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…1b17backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…08a9backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 49.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Over | 58c | 42.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…fd88backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…4309backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…9778backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…1655backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…4342backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs NoskovaMuchova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Noskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.