Tennis · resolved market
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af4671ce1fb4e7a64e022059a28c1f07f11f54b9631230ddc12590f6e4f38d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 49c | 10,120$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120.34 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Under | 51c | 10,094$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.54 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 50c | 4,502$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.94 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 48c | 2,096$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.68 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 1,973$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.65 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Over | 50c | 1,735$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.64 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 360.61$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 52c | 285$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 252.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…72aebacked Over | 53c | 184.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…46c3backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 47c | 84.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 75.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Under | 51c | 47.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…f57ebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Over | 51c | 30.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…3820backed Over | 50c | 29.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 24.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…50ffbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a05abacked Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs NoskovaMuchova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Noskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.