Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1c08c1378b3db4e8542daeaee3972dd95dca1691bcb87c377dc274ae16d80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Muchova, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Noskova | 67c | 4,200$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.19 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Noskova | 70c | 3,581$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.43 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Muchova | 30c | 3,574$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.28 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Noskova | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Muchova | 34c | 2,134$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.61 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Muchova | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Muchova | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Noskova | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Muchova | 21c | 887.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Noskova | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Noskova | 63c | 617$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Muchova | 33c | 609.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Muchova | 34c | 579.41$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Muchova | 37c | 535.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Muchova | 33c | 508.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Muchova | 36c | 459.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Noskova | 79c | 413.77$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Muchova | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Noskova | 72c | 313.28$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Noskova | 64c | 309.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Muchova | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Muchova | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Muchova | 33c | 292.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Muchova | 29c | 269.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…c07bbacked Noskova | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Muchova | 33c | 214.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…46c3backed Muchova | 28c | 214.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Noskova | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Muchova | 33c | 176.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Muchova | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Noskova | 78c | 158.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Muchova | 33c | 118.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…8831backed Muchova | 34c | 104.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Noskova | 70c | 100.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Noskova | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Muchova | 34c | 98.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Muchova | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Muchova | 34c | 87.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Muchova | 36c | 81.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Noskova | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Noskova | 79c | 72.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Noskova | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Noskova | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Noskova | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Noskova | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Muchova | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…1c15backed Muchova | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Muchova | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed Noskova | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Noskova | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Noskova | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Muchova | 34c | 51.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Muchova | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Noskova | 67c | 44.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…d920backed Muchova | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Muchova | 31c | 32.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Noskova | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Noskova | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Noskova | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)this page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Muchova vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs NoskovaMuchova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.