Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4edc493e82dae5439267bbae01b6e5a3ec7198022f743b4d9577cdbdaae3ad6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Lehecka, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zverev | 62c | 1,579$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Lehecka | 75c | 1,327$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Lehecka | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Zverev | 62c | 1,026$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Zverev | 60c | 664.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Lehecka | 50c | 652.2$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.69 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Zverev | 2c | 540.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.05 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Lehecka | 41c | 489.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zverev | 42c | 403.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Zverev | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lehecka | 50c | 373.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…6db6backed Lehecka | 19c | 300.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Lehecka | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Zverev | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Zverev | 59c | 204.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Lehecka | 23c | 170.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Zverev | 58c | 136$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…d359backed Lehecka | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Lehecka | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zverev | 57c | 94.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Lehecka | 41c | 93.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Lehecka | 41c | 73.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zverev | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zverev | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Zverev | 43c | 37.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Zverev | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lehecka | 45c | 23.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevthis page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevLehecka won
- Set 4 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)Lehecka won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.