Tennis · resolved market
Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc9b35fb4ab828fa99b04041b6e8c2d878d8babfca87ccf4d37f9850efb637c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 4.5of Over 4.5, Under 4.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over 4.5 | 29c | 991.97$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.39 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under 4.5 | 71c | 477.18$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under 4.5 | 71c | 271.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…0396backed Under 4.5 | 75c | 212.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 4.5 | 72c | 149.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over 4.5 | 23c | 137.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over 4.5 | 28c | 102.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…4bc0backed Under 4.5 | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under 4.5 | 71c | 86.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…0754backed Under 4.5 | 64c | 66.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Over 4.5 | 36c | 66.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Under 4.5 | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under 4.5 | 71c | 41.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under 4.5 | 71c | 38.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under 4.5 | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevLehecka won
- Set 4 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)Lehecka won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.