Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181c084979fed3f65419e6b7102305dfc53624a5dcaf3e08e83e083f86896972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Lehecka | 44c | 1,543$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Lehecka | 44c | 1,420$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked Zverev | 56c | 1,420$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Zverev | 57c | 700.41$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Lehecka | 45c | 660.65$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.57 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 54c | 653.08$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Zverev | 56c | 503$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Zverev | 60c | 483.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Zverev | 59c | 340.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Zverev | 55c | 332.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Lehecka | 42c | 286.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Zverev | 58c | 279.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lehecka | 20c | 221.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Zverev | 80c | 221.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lehecka | 41c | 192$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Lehecka | 11c | 136.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lehecka | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…061abacked Zverev | 57c | 118.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Lehecka | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Zverev | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Lehecka | 16c | 98.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lehecka | 42c | 97.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Zverev | 57c | 89.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Lehecka | 14c | 87.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Lehecka | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c4…c777backed Zverev | 58c | 80.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zverev | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lehecka | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Zverev | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Lehecka | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Lehecka | 38c | 37.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Lehecka | 42c | 35.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…ff43backed Lehecka | 47c | 35.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Zverev | 58c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lehecka | 41c | 30.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…f4c7backed Zverev | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed Zverev | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevLehecka won
- Set 4 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)Lehecka won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.