Tennis · resolved market
Set 4 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3970f85daf31d54ccf31e728891b8b8f9ef9c4d36ddb3d1120717f9111f8fd7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Lehecka, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6401…f240backed Lehecka | 39c | 1,174$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.81 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Zverev | 62c | 1,131$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.19 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Lehecka | 39c | 589.01$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.27 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Lehecka | 44c | 525.24$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Zverev | 62c | 431.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Zverev | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zverev | 67c | 381.4$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zverev | 62c | 354.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Lehecka | 50c | 320.41$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zverev | 62c | 268.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lehecka | 25c | 228.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Lehecka | 33c | 187.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Zverev | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Lehecka | 39c | 161$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Lehecka | 47c | 123.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lehecka | 45c | 88.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Zverev | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Lehecka | 45c | 56.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Zverev | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Lehecka | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Zverev | 55c | 32.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Zverev | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 4 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevthis page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevLehecka won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)Lehecka won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.